(15 March 2026) Stocks fell for a third straight week last week as rising oil prices from the war with Iran reignited inflation fears. Despite the geopolitical tensions and the flood of dramatic headlines, the current pullback sees the major indexes still within 5% of their recent all-time highs.
The decline was not unexpected given the range of influences in play last week. I had been skeptical of the positive net effect indicated by the Alignment Calendar given the downside risk of the approaching triple conjunction of Mercury, Mars, and the North Node. Our backtesting suggested an interim low was more likely to occur 3-6 days before the March 15 conjunction. That did not preclude further downside last week, and...
(1 March 2026) US stocks finished modestly lower last week on higher-than-expected wholesale inflation data and renewed worries over the negative economic impact of...
(22 February 2026) US stocks ended the week higher as markets rallied after Friday's Supreme Court decision struck down Trump's tariff policy. Even with...
(18 February 2026) Synopsis: Thursday's "hidden" Jupiter-Saturn alignment introduces some downside risk to the market over the next week or two. Evidence from previous...
(15 February 2026) Stocks generally moved lower last week on growing fears that AI disruption could undermine profitability in several economic sectors. While technology...
(8 February 2026) After a very volatile week, US stocks rebounded strongly on Friday although the indexes ended mixed. The tech-heavy NASDAQ was still...
(25 January 2026) US stocks ended the week slightly lower as Greenland-related tariff fears briefly shook market confidence. President Trump calmed the early week...
(18 January 2026) Stocks ended the week slightly lower as investors pondered the future of the Fed's independence after Trump's latest comments about Fed...
(28 December 2025) Stocks pushed higher last week as favorable holiday seasonality combined with strong GDP data to fuel gains in financials and industrials. ...
(21 December 2025) Stocks were mixed last week as the inflation rate ticked lower while manufacturing data showed more signs of weakness. The NASDAQ...