Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday, 19 September 2018

Total      1 day ago      1 week ago
31-39       36-42            55-74



(bearish 0-40;  neutral 40-60; bullish 60-100)



Comment: The Volatile Moon

US stocks rebounded smartly on Tuesday after Monday's bearish tariff scare.  The slightly higher FAI score hinted at growing optimism albeit with a rather low total.  As expected, we did see a little weakness enter into the market before the close at 4 p.m. with the approach of the Moon to Pluto.

Wednesday's index score is a bearish 31-39.  This is less than Tuesday and could offer bears some comfort.  The Moon does seem to be more vulnerable as it conjoins Mars in Capricorn. 

It also will transit the nakshatra of Uttara Ashada which is ruled by the Sun.  This is a less positive influence that Tuesday's transit of Venus-ruled Purva Ashada.  One key reason is because the Sun is under the aspect of Saturn now.  It may get a boost from its conjunction with Mercury but the Saturn influence usually translates into problems.  The Moon's transit of the Saturn-ruled sector of Uttara Ashada after 2 p.m. lowers the Moon score and thus heightens downside risk.  And the larger problem is still that Mars-Saturn-Uranus alignment.  The Moon may activate it tomorrow. 

Again, the NASDAQ transits look worse than the NYSE transits.  While this could mean that tech stocks underperform, it should also be seen as a moderating factor on the day overall since the index is composite of different charts. 


Moon  6-8/20

Sun  3/10

Transit Alignments 10-14/30  (N.B. I have increased this weighting from 25 to 30)

NYSE Alignments 8-10/20  (This weighting has been cut from 25 to 20)

NASDAQ Alignments  4/20






 



Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 18 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Monday, 17 September 2018


Financial Astrology Index for Friday, 14 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 13 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday, 12 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 11 September 2018


Financial Astrology Index for Monday, 10 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Friday, 7 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 6 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday, 5 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 4 September 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Friday 31 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 30 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday, 29 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 28 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Friday, 24 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 23 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday 22 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday 21 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Monday 20 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Friday 17 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday 16 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday 15 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday 13/14 August 2018





Background and disclaimer (Updated 4 Sep 2018)
 

Can market probabilities be reduced to a single number?  Given the large number of planetary variables involved, it is very difficult to distill the relative balance of optimism and pessimism into simple numerical form.   The Financial Astrology Index (FAI) is my attempt to explore this possibility.  The index has a theoretical range between 0 (all bearish) to 100 (all bullish).  Most of time, it should move between 20 and 80.  Readings above 60 should be considered bullish, while readings below 40 are bearish.  Readings between 40 and 60 are neutral.   

It may be read in a similar way to technical indicators such as the RSI and Stochastics which show overbought and oversold conditions in the market. A number above 80 is very bullish and suggests a strong up trend.  In some situations (e.g. near resistance, in a bearish market), this may also indicate a heightened risk of a reversal lower.  Alternatively, a falling FAI in a rising market can create a negative divergence which may be an indication of rising downside risk.  Conversely, a rising FAI can set up a positive divergence against a backdrop of a bear market or market correction.  This divergence could be signal that a rebound may come soon.  The trend in the FAI is at least as important as the actual value in terms of understanding possible future price patterns. 

As always, it is not intended as a substitute for established stock market technical indicators.  If anything, it is intended to stand alongside them and should be treated as an additional source of information -- just another tool in the investor's toolkit. 

Fair warning: this is still experimental and more of a work-in-progress.  I will likely be tweaking the relative weights of the different factors as I go.  

By way of disclaimer, let me state the obvious: do not use this index as a stand-alone method for investing.  There are simply too many unknowns in astrology.  Astrology is best used as a supplementary source of information in tandem with other technical and fundamental approaches.  This is not to be taken as investment advice.  For informational purposes only.