Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 4 September 2018

Total          Trend         1 day ago         1 week ago
49             Neutral           49                     50

(bearish 0-40; neutral 40-60; bullish 60-100)


Comment:  the same but different

Stocks remained buoyant Friday although the indexes are still slightly below last week's highs.  The market appears needs a catalyst to move higher although bad news on tariffs isn't that bearish.  The ongoing divergence between very elevated stock prices and very middling index scores should give bulls cause for concern.

Tuesday's index stands at 49 which is pretty much in line where it has been over the past week or two.  There are some new trouble spots (Mars-Mercury) but it isn't clear if the Jupiter-Neptune is weakening yet.  There is new downside risk here but the numbers don't present a strong case for a big decline.  

For a general weekly overview, please check out my market forecast.

Readers seeking a more in-depth analysis can see my subscriber newsletter.


Components:

Moon: 8/20

The Moon is slowly approaching its more bullish New Moon position but it's opposition to Saturn significantly weakens it, especially in the morning.


Sun:  6/10

The Sun may derive some minor benefit from its broad alignment with Jupiter but it's opposition to Neptune is a negative.


Transit Alignments: 12/25

The Jupiter influence is still helpful but Mercury is getting close to the aspect from bearish Mars. 


NYSE Alignments:  13/25

The Mercury-Mars aligns with the natal Saturn and Sun so that could undermine much of the benefit of the Venus conjunction with Jupiter.


NASDAQ Alignments:  10/20

The Moon-Saturn opposition picks up the natal Venus at 9 Sagittarius.  This is not a plus.  Jupiter's alignment with the natal Sun is still ongoing but it isn't clear how strong it will be tomorrow.




 


Financial Astrology Index for Friday 31 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 30 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday, 29 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday, 28 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Friday, 24 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday, 23 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday 22 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday 21 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Monday 20 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Friday 17 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Thursday 16 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Wednesday 15 August 2018

Financial Astrology Index for Tuesday 13/14 August 2018




Background and disclaimer (Updated 4 Sep 2018)
 

Can market probabilities be reduced to a single number?  Given the large number of planetary variables involved, it is very difficult to distill the relative balance of optimism and pessimism into simple numerical form.   The Financial Astrology Index (FAI) is my attempt to explore this possibility.  The index has a theoretical range between 0 (all bearish) to 100 (all bullish).  Most of time, it should move between 20 and 80.  Readings above 60 should be considered bullish, while readings below 40 are bearish.  Readings between 40 and 60 are neutral.   

It may be read in a similar way to technical indicators such as the RSI and Stochastics which show overbought and oversold conditions in the market. A number above 80 is very bullish and suggests a strong up trend.  In some situations (e.g. near resistance, in a bearish market), this may also indicate a heightened risk of a reversal lower.  Alternatively, a falling FAI in a rising market can create a negative divergence which may be an indication of rising downside risk.  Conversely, a rising FAI can set up a positive divergence against a backdrop of a bear market or market correction.  This divergence could be signal that a rebound may come soon.  The trend in the FAI is at least as important as the actual value in terms of understanding possible future price patterns. 

As always, it is not intended as a substitute for established stock market technical indicators.  If anything, it is intended to stand alongside them and should be treated as an additional source of information -- just another tool in the investor's toolkit. 

Fair warning: this is still experimental and more of a work-in-progress.  I will likely be tweaking the relative weights of the different factors as I go.  

By way of disclaimer, let me state the obvious: do not use this index as a stand-alone method for investing.  There are simply too many unknowns in astrology.  Astrology is best used as a supplementary source of information in tandem with other technical and fundamental approaches.  This is not to be taken as investment advice.  For informational purposes only.